Golden Globe Predictions

I love awards season. Yes, people like to complain about how there’s too many award shows, how it’s all just Hollywood patting itself on the back, how some of the awards are out of touch with “the people,” never mind who/what should have won … I really don’t care. I love the spectacle and the speeches and seeing all the pretty people in pretty clothes, and just the whole big thing. So much fun.

So, I thought maybe I’d throw out some predictions for you. I’m just going to do the movies, because I don’t pay much attention to what goes on in the world of television. Also, as a caveat, I have seen hardly any of these movies. Just one of those years. Anyway. We’ll just have to see how I do, won’t we?

Best Motion Picture – Drama
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The King’s Speech
The Social Network

I’d love to see Inception win, but I doubt it. It’s possible The King’s Speech could pull this out, but the Globes are typically pretty populist, and I think while Colin Firth has a lot of buzz, the movie isn’t quite on the same level. The Social Network ought to take it.

Best Actress – Drama
Halle Berry (Frankie and Alice)
Nicole Kidman (Rabbit Hole)
Jennifer Lawrence (Winter’s Bone)
Natalie Portman (Black Swan)
Michelle Williams (Blue Valentine)

Please. This is the year of la Portman. I think she’s gonna go all the way.

Best Actor – Drama
Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network)
Colin Firth (The King’s Speech)
James Franco (127 Hours)
Ryan Gosling (Blue Valentine)
Mark Wahlberg (The Fighter)

Mr. Firth is due, and his performance is getting raves. I think he’s a lock.

Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Alice in Wonderland
Burlesque
The Kids are Alright
Red
The Tourist

Ugh. What a ridiculous group of nominees. The only good thing about them is that they pretty much guarantee a win for The Kids are Alright. Let’s hope so, anyway.

Best Actress – Comedy/Musical
Annette Bening (The Kids are All Right)
Anne Hathaway (Love and Other Drugs)
Angelina Jolie (The Tourist)
Julianne Moore (The Kids are All Right)
Emma Stone (Easy A)

Two points to the Hollywood Foreign Press for nominating Emma Stone. Still, the hardware is going home with Ms. Bening.

Best Actor – Comedy/Musical
Johnny Depp (Alice in Wonderland)
Johnny Depp (The Tourist)
Paul Giamatti (Barney’s Version)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Love and Other Drugs)
Kevin Spacey (Casino Jack)

Ugh. Can we just pretend this isn’t happening? Unfortunately, there are no good nominees here. Thus, we’ll go with the most notable. Depp for Alice. But it makes my heart hurt, and I will have my fingers crossed for the extreme unlikelihood of Paul Giamatti.

Best Animated Feature Film
Despicable Me
How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Tangled
Toy Story 3

Now this is a strong category. I have only seen Tangled, which is awesome, but I really want to see almost all of the rest of these … except for Toy Story 3, which will likely win. I didn’t even like the first one that much. Sue me. Runner-up? Despicable Me. I’d be excited if HTTYD or Tangled pulled off an upset. The Illusionist will have to be happy with just the nod.

Best Foreign Language Film
Biutiful (Mexico/Spain)
The Concert (France)
The Edge (Russia)
I am Love (Italy)
In a Better World (Denmark)

Ok. So the only one of these I have even heard of is Biutiful, and it’s gotten really good buzz, so I’m going with it. Plus, Javier Bardem! Seriously, though, I admit my ignorance, and I will say that my foreign language picks almost never win. So I kind of expect to be wrong about this one, too.

Best Actress – Supporting
Amy Adams (The Fighter)
Helena Bonham-Carter (The King’s Speech)
Mila Kunis (Black Swan)
Melissa Leo (The Fighter)
Jackie Weaver (Animal Kingdom)

I’m going to go out on a limb, here. I really want to say that HBC will win, but Melissa Leo always has some strong support, and maybe this’ll be her year, so let’s gamble a little, shall we? Ok!

Best Actor – Supporting
Christian Bale (The Fighter)
Michael Douglas (Wall Street: The City Never Sleeps)
Andrew Garfield (The Social Network)
Jeremy Renner (The Town)
Geoffrey Rush (The King’s Speech)

I think they’re going to give it to Bale. I hope they give it to Rush. Michael Douglas could win it with the sympathy vote? Nah …

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan)
David Fincher (The Social Network)
Tom Hooper (The King’s Speech)
Christopher Nolan (Inception)
David O. Russell (The Fighter)

Again, I think that The Social Network is going to take some big prizes this season, although not in the acting categories. I would love to see Nolan win this, but I think he’s a dark horse; if it’s not Fincher, then it’s Aronofsky.

Best Screenplay
Danny Boyle, Simon Beaufoy (127 Hours)
Lisa Cholodenko, Stuart Blumberg (The Kids are All Right)
Christopher Nolan (Inception)
David Seidler (The King’s Speech)
Aaron Sorkin (The Social Network)

I think this will go to Cholodenko, who was snubbed in the Directing category. If not, then Sorkin for The Social Network. (Go, go, Nolan!)

…I’m skipping the music categories. Those are always a big guess for me anyway. The rest are choices based on buzz, previous awards won, and just my general sense of how such things work. I’ll get some right, I’ll get some wrong. Will you be watching the awards ceremony on Sunday? Yaaay, awards season!

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